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empowering underachievers new strategies to guide kids 8 18 to personal excellenceOur payment security system encrypts your information during transmission. We don’t share your credit card details with third-party sellers, and we don’t sell your information to others. Please try again.Please try again.Please try again. Please try your request again later. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. The 115 guidelines are organized into six sequential categories that mirror the phases of a strategic foresight activity, namely Framing, Scanning, Forecasting, Visioning, Planning, and Acting. Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again. Then you can start reading Kindle books on your smartphone, tablet, or computer - no Kindle device required. His books include Teaching about the Future, ConsumerShift: How Changing Values Are Reshaping the Consumer Landscape, Thinking about the Future, 2025: Science and Technology Reshapes US and Global Society, and he recently earned his PhD on The Role of an Organizational Futurist in Integrating Foresight into Organizations.Yet precious little guidance is available on the best ways to do this. This book is not an explicit methodology text, but rather suggests what executives and analysts should be thinking about and doing when contemplating or performing activities involving strategic foresight. It aims at communicating the collective wisdom of three dozen expert contributors for attaining excellence in strategic foresight. Thus, its primary goal is to provide readers with clear and useful guidance regarding how best to practice strategic foresight. This guidance is presented in the form of guidelines that represent a distillation of best practice.http://dentoncountyfederation.org/images/fair-trial-manual-a-handbook-for-judges-and-magistrates.xml

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The presentation style is brief and to the point--designed to provide essential, need-to-know information that can be immediately put into practice. We believe that analysts and organizations that follow these guidelines will be more effective than those that do not. Many practicing analysts today have little experience or formal training in strategic foresight. This work addresses that gap by cataloging the best guidelines for successfully applying strategic foresight, offered by professionals in the field today. It is intended both for those new to strategic foresight who would benefit from a reference guide, and for more experienced practitioners who will be able to pick out ideas to refine and improve their practices. As organizations become more efficient, payrolls are shrinking and more analysts are being tasked with activities that require strategic foresight. At the same time, analysts find themselves with few places to turn for readily available and applicable guides on how to do it. Providing that guidance is the primary aim of this book.Full content visible, double tap to read brief content. Videos Help others learn more about this product by uploading a video. Upload video To calculate the overall star rating and percentage breakdown by star, we don’t use a simple average. Instead, our system considers things like how recent a review is and if the reviewer bought the item on Amazon. It also analyzes reviews to verify trustworthiness. Please try again later. Breauxjw 5.0 out of 5 stars This is my understanding of the practice of foresight. Therefore, the question is how do we prepare for the futures. You may note that I used the plural form of future. Futurists understand that there is not one future, but many possible futures and that while we may or may not have control over which future becomes our present, we have a much better chance to arrive at one we prefer if we will but choose and act. This 2006 book edited by Dr. Andy Hines and Dr.http://gopherscopes.com/userfiles/fairbairn-manual-knife-fighting-pdf.xml Peter Bishop is about these very ideas. The idea that we cannot know the one future, the idea that we can prepare for many futures, and the idea that we can act to help bring preferred futures into being. The book is methodological in nature. Meant to be used as a guideline and the introduction section well tells the story of how to use it for Executives, Analysts, and Educators. I use the Thinking about the Future (2007) framework as an executive, student, and futurist for a wide variety of foresight tasks. The framework is easy to understand, organize, and present, and lends itself to team collaborative efforts or solo explorations. Once past the Preface by Australian futurist Richard Slaughter, the lengthy list of contributors and the basic guidelines (philosophies) of using the framework, the book is organized around the framework method stepwise: Framing, Scanning, Forecasting, Visioning, Planning, and perhaps most importantly Acting. What good is a plan for preferred futures if you do not act after all. Each section is clearly and consistently organized as; a definition of the step, the how to, what benefits to expect, an example, and finally several reference books and papers for further reading. The book is well indexed, and has many, many citations, but could be improved by the addition of a summary bibliography, especially as it is indicated as a scholastic text. The bottom line: if you are looking for an organized guideline to practicing foresight for your business, organization, or life, this text will help you organize the world around you into a framework that you can synthesize from, share and update easily to help prepare for the futures. Buy this book, I like and use it. Further reading could involve the 2012 book by Bishop and Hines, Teaching about the Future which covers not only the Thinking about the Future framework, but also; Understanding the futures, Mapping the domain, and Influencing the futures in a clear methodological context.This book is very readable and well organized. The whole structure of the book is based on the full analysis process from the Framing by Scanning, Forecasting, Visioning, Planning to Acting. Each element of the process is described in detail and explained according to the scheme: Key steps - Benefits - Example. And at the end of each section, the authors recommend supplementary literature. I am glad that I read this book. Why? Because Andy Hines and Peter Bishop systematize knowledge of strategic foresight from the point of view of the analyst. And although it is the beginning of the road to being an expert of strategic foresight, this is a good start.Yet I have been doing this my whole life. I just didn't know what to call it. I didn't know there was a discipline that evolved around it. If I had read this book a few decades ago, I might have saved myself a lot of frustration and many mistakes along the way. I rated it only four stars because it was a slow read. By the end I decided the book would have benefited from judicious editing. As an academic treatise, it is what you expect - comprehensive and didactic. Many words to say a little bit. It could have been more succinct.It's not the only framework or approach to thinking about the future, but it is one of the most accessible. A must read for anyone serious about integrating foresight into their organisational strategy approaches.Framing, Scanning, Forecasting, Visioning, Planning, and Implementing are all functions that a professional futures consultant may be asked to perform. This book provides insights on key steps, benefits, and hard-earned lessons for each. The references for further reading alone are well worth the cost of admission. Highly recommended for all foresight practitioners.Keeps mentioning techniques with out explanation and charts, graphs, and matrices with out a visual example. (Not in physical book either.) It would seem that it would be better as a reminder for people who already have learned how to to this but want a guide to remind them of things they may have forgot.Read it cover to cover or take tapas style bites of the chapters. If you're thinking about the future, doing strategic foresight, futures planning and you do not have this dog eared on your bookshelf - you are probably not doing your best work and missing a key practical manual to create plausible, realistic futures. Remain ignorant at you, your company and your client's peril.I find it uninterestingIt was an excellent starting point for those interesting in employing this model for their lives, businesses and organizations.Page 1 of 1 Start over Page 1 of 1 Previous page Next page. Please try again.Please try again.Please try again. Please try your request again later. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. The 115 guidelines are organized into six sequential categories that mirror the phases of a strategic foresight activity: Framing, Scanning, Forecasting, Visioning, Planning, and Acting. This second edition provided an opportunity to update the examples for the guidelines where they seemed dated. Otherwise, the original guidelines are intact, in the same place and order. The more significant change is the addition of a new section that provides specific “how-to” process advice to supplement the guidelines. We have been working on our approach to doing and teaching how to do foresight projects for the University of Houston Foresight Program since the book was published in 2007. The resulting “framework foresight” process is described in Section 7.0 Applying the Framework. Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again. Then you can start reading Kindle books on your smartphone, tablet, or computer - no Kindle device required. Full content visible, double tap to read brief content. It also analyzes reviews to verify trustworthiness. Please try again later. David S 5.0 out of 5 stars The result is a comprehensive, state-of-the-art, strategic foresight reference handbook. It is not a cookie-cutter recipe or checklist for conducting an applied futures study, but rather an accessible “distillation of best-practices” in a framework for scouting, assessing and prioritizing possible, plausible and probable opportunities and challenges beyond today’s horizon. As President of the academically-oriented and UN-affiliated World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF), Dr. Gidley represents the Critical Futurists.The book is intuitive and full of captivating examples to demonstrate the importance of each concept or step. A must read for anyone interested in the future of anything.Hints on the typical organizational challenges to be overcome were welcome. This text is for the experienced analyst, planner, project manager and consultant. The supporting sources noted in the text are well worth the read. SeymourSemplice da leggere in inglese anche per non madre lingua, a volte risulta un po' teorico, ma vi aprira una finestra sulla gamma di futuri di cui potete, gia oggi, disegnare contorni e soprattutto effetti. Thus, I added a new step-by-step how-to chapter to conclude the book. All the examples of the 115 guidelines were reviewed and 55 were updated. This also add some new references. The cover is redesigned as well. That is why Hines and Peter Bishop put together the 231-page paperback, which distills the expertise of 36 world-renowned futurists into an easily scannable guidebook. The ultimate goal of strategic foresight is to make better, more informed decisions in the present—making it the ideal tool for exploring new markets, products, and services, or more generally for successfully navigating the rapids of today’s constantly shifting, increasingly complex global environment. Whether it is for corporate strategy, government policy, community development, or to better understand customers and markets, I firmly believe organizations that follow these guidelines will be more effective than those that do not.” By taking time at the outset of a project, the team analyzing a problem can clarify the objective and determine how best to address it. When the team probes the organization’s view of the future, they usually find an array of unexamined assumptions that tend to converge around incremental changes. The task, then, is to challenge this view and prod the organization to think seriously about the possibility that things may not continue as they have—and in fact, rarely do. Considering a range of potential futures is the only surefire way to develop robust strategies that will position the organization securely for any future that may occur. Here, the team translates what could be into strategies and tactics that will lead toward the preferred future. Specifically, the book will help leaders: Specifically, students will: This is our opportunity to recognize the outstanding foresight work within and outside of the APF community. June 22, 2021 I was reading a story about rainbow capitalism and it struck me that new varieties of capitalism seem to spring up rather regularly. It raises the very fair policy question for futurists about what our coverage is regarding wildcards. Do we cover all of them. June 9, 2021 I think so. As I get closer to the end and conclusions are dancing around in head, more and more I’m in some sense coming back to where I started. Values shifts are the key. Early in the research I began searching for a way to analyze the images in a consistent fashion. Of course, one starts with Polak’s Image of the Future. We have four weeks to do the bulk of the scanning. That’s a lot of work for a short amount of time, so we need to work smart and fast. We joke that there is no such thing as typical and it is relatively rare that a project takes exactly three months. We are typically hired by futures-oriented thinkers to help them do futures work for their organization. This futures-oriented client (direct client) will often tell us the work is for so-and-so internally or for the organization (client-of-client). Sometime we get lucky with students who are not only supremely talented and hard-working, but also want to contribute to the long-term health of the program. Houston Foresight alum Maria Romero, now doing foresight work with Knowledge Works, did the original design for us. Thinking about the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight. Request full-text Download citation Copy link Link copied Request full-text Download citation Copy link Link copied To read the full-text of this research, you can request a copy directly from the author. Request full-text PDF Citations (1) References (0) Adaptive vs. However, despite general consensus as to the importance of the scenario approach in general, and rapid growth in both theory and practice in the field, fundamental questions remain over which situations are most tractable to scenario planning and why; and, in the face of uneven success in application, which among an apparent myriad scenario planning approaches best serves different planning situations, or organisations holding different goals.Following the guidelines of the Science Case for an ELT1,2 our team searched for possible intersections with innovative technologies we currently deal with in our research. We propose in this paper a comparative analysis of a VPHG based and a dichroic based configurations for the imager. Read more Looking for the full-text. You can request the full-text of this article directly from the authors on ResearchGate. Request full-text Already a member. Log in ResearchGate iOS App Get it from the App Store now. Install Keep up with your stats and more Access scientific knowledge from anywhere or Discover by subject area Recruit researchers Join for free Login Email Tip: Most researchers use their institutional email address as their ResearchGate login Password Forgot password. Keep me logged in Log in or Continue with LinkedIn Continue with Google Welcome back. Keep me logged in Log in or Continue with LinkedIn Continue with Google No account. All rights reserved. Terms Privacy Copyright Imprint. Groups Discussions Quotes Ask the Author Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further st Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again. To see what your friends thought of this book,It offers strong insights into framing scenarios for the future. Also there is a desire to listen to outlier and 'difficult' members of a team, to offer alternative futures. A solid book. It is a good intervention in planning for the future. It offers strong insights into framing scenarios for the future. A solid book. It is a good intervention in planning for the future. This book is very readable and well organized. The whole structure of the book is based on the full anal. The book is written in understandable, accessible language. This book is very readable and well organized. And although it is the beginning of the road to being an expert of strategic foresight, this is a good start. There are no discussion topics on this book yet.They are usually biased towards the past, and are often vague or based on faulty assumptions about the future. The mental models of key decision-makers should be assessed as early as possible in a strategic foresight activity—and continually reassessed. The aim, according to Wack (1984), “is to change the decision maker’s assumptions about how the world works and compel him to change his image of reality.”. To browse Academia.edu and the wider internet faster and more securely, please take a few seconds to upgrade your browser. Academia hosts open access papers, serving our mission to accelerate the world’s research. READ PAPER Thinking About the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight Download Thinking About the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight Andy Hines Loading Preview Sorry, preview is currently unavailable. You can download the paper by clicking the button above. Some features of WorldCat will not be available.By continuing to use the site, you are agreeing to OCLC’s placement of cookies on your device. Find out more here. However, formatting rules can vary widely between applications and fields of interest or study. The specific requirements or preferences of your reviewing publisher, classroom teacher, institution or organization should be applied. Please enter recipient e-mail address(es). Please re-enter recipient e-mail address(es). Please enter your name. Please enter the subject. Please enter the message. Author: Andy Hines; Peter J Bishop; Social Technologies, LLCPlease select Ok if you would like to proceed with this request anyway. All rights reserved. You can easily create a free account. The site uses cookies to offer you a better experience. By continuing to browse the site you accept our Cookie Policy, you can change your settings at any time. View Privacy Policy View Cookie Policy By continuing to use the site you agree to our use of cookies. Find out more. Registered in England and Wales. Company number 00610095. Registered office address: 203-206 Piccadilly, London, W1J 9HD. Or, add to basket, pay online, collect in as little as 2 hours, subject to availability. If this item isn't available to be reserved nearby, add the item to your basket instead and select 'Deliver to my local shop' (UK shops only) at the checkout, to be able to collect it from there at a later date. Restrictions apply. Try it free Thinking about the Future, by Andy Hines and Peter Bishop, distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again. About This Item We aim to show you accurate product information. Manufacturers,See our disclaimer Thinking about the Future distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Thinking about the Future, by Andy Hines and Peter Bishop, distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Specifications Language English Publisher Hinesight Book Format Paperback Original Languages ENG Number of Pages 448 Author Andy Hines, Peter Bishop Title Thinking about the Future ISBN-13 9780996773409 Publication Date November, 2015 Assembled Product Dimensions (L x W x H) 9.02 x 5.98 x 0.91 Inches ISBN-10 0996773401 Customer Reviews Write a review Be the first to review this item. Ask a question Ask a question If you would like to share feedback with us about pricing, delivery or other customer service issues, please contact customer service directly. So if you find a current lower price from an online retailer on an identical, in-stock product, tell us and we'll match it. See more details at Online Price Match.All Rights Reserved. To ensure we are able to help you as best we can, please include your reference number: Feedback Thank you for signing up. You will receive an email shortly at: Here at Walmart.com, we are committed to protecting your privacy. 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Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again. Choose your country's store to see books available for purchase. We appreciate your feedback. We'll publish them on our site once we've reviewed them. You need a United States address to shop on our United States store. Go to our Russia store to continue. You may try clicking the browser Back button to return to the previous page or clicking the button below to return to the library's home page. If you get this error again, contact the library for assistance. Return To Home Page. Please choose a different delivery location.Please try again.Please try again.Additional terms apply.Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again. To calculate the overall star rating and percentage breakdown by star, we do not use a simple average. It also analyses reviews to verify trustworthiness. This is my understanding of the practice of foresight. Highly recommended for all foresight practitioners. Upload Language (EN) Scribd Perks Read for free FAQ and support Sign in Skip carousel Carousel Previous Carousel Next What is Scribd. Books (selected) Audiobooks Magazines Podcasts Sheet Music Documents Snapshots Quick navigation Home Books, active Audiobooks Documents Find your next favorite book Become a member today and read free for 30 days Start your free 30 days Home Books Social Science Thinking about the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight (2nd edition) By Andy Hines Save Save for later Create a list Download Download to app Share Thinking about the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight (2nd edition) By Andy Hines Length: 518 pages 6 hours Publisher: Andy Hines Released: Nov 25, 2015 ISBN: 9780996773416 Format: Book Description Thinking about the Future, by Andy Hines and Peter Bishop, distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Executives will find both the guidelines and the framework invaluable for understanding what it takes to successfully explore the future, while analysts who actively carry out strategic foresight projects will find the book an indispensable reference that they turn to again and again.Most of all, Framing prevents misunderstandings that generate confusion and wasted work. On the second point, there is the tendency to see everything in straight, linear patterns. Double the cause, you double the effect. Increase your effort to get more output. But very few, if any, relationships follow a linear pattern. Chakravorti (2003) in his aptly titled The Slow Pace of Fast Change. He argues that changein his case business innovations—is embedded in a system. Every explanation in a foresight activity should be tested for the right level of complexity.Explanations tend to be simplified in two ways: too few causal factors or too many straight-line relationships among causes and effects. The premise of Framing is that taking time at the outset of a project to clarify the objective and how best to address it will pay big dividends in the later phases. Most of all, Framing prevents misunderstandings that generate confusion and wasted work. Far too many strategic foresight activities—and business analyses in general—end up addressing and solving the wrong problem, or discovering the real issue halfway through the project, after investing significant time and resources. The organization then faces the prospect of starting over—with less confidence in the activity overall—or simply abandoning it altogether. Strategic foresight activities are unique among business practices because they deal with the long-term future. For this reason, they naturally introduce fuzziness and expose uncertainty. For example, take the question What will a particular technology mean for the world of business in ten years. Framing issues that arise immediately are 1) defining the boundaries of the technology and what is meant by world of business; 2) understanding the depth and scope of research required and assessing available resources to accomplish it; and 3) considering the number of alternative scenarios or images likely to be required and what outcomes the client is likely to want. And these are only the beginning. Yet pressure to get on with it often leads both clients and practitioners to skim over Framing, or skip it altogether. The six groups of guidelines in this section highlight why Framing is so important for solving organizational issues and how an practitioner can best accomplish it. The first set of guidelines, 1.1: Adjust attitudes, emphasizes the importance of making it clear upfront to those involved that strategic foresight is different from typical management approaches. Most organizations are more comfortable with straightforward challenges that can be answered correctly if the right skills and knowledge are applied. Strategic foresight, on the other hand, does not deliver cut-and-dried, right-and-wrong answers.